GOLD 24K (Tola) Rs 469,933 ▼ -0.27% GOLD 24K (10g) Rs 402,899 ▼ -0.27% GOLD 22K (Tola) Rs 430,772 ▼ -0.27% SILVER (Tola) Rs 7,165 SPOT GOLD (oz) $4,409.98 ▼ -0.27% SPOT SILVER (oz) $65.85 ▼ -0.45% USD / PKR Rs 277.64 GOLD 24K (Tola) Rs 469,933 ▼ -0.27% GOLD 24K (10g) Rs 402,899 ▼ -0.27% GOLD 22K (Tola) Rs 430,772 ▼ -0.27% SILVER (Tola) Rs 7,165 SPOT GOLD (oz) $4,409.98 ▼ -0.27% SPOT SILVER (oz) $65.85 ▼ -0.45% USD / PKR Rs 277.64
Methodology

How Gold Rates Are Decided

Follow one number from the international market to the board outside your local jeweller.

There is no committee that sets the gold rate. There is a chain — an international benchmark, an exchange rate, the cost of physically importing metal, and a local dealer margin — and each link is observable. This page walks the chain end to end with today's actual numbers, so you can see where a rupee price comes from.

Step 1 — the international benchmark

Gold trades continuously against the US dollar, quoted per troy ounce — 31.1034768 grams. The price is set by trading in the London over-the-counter market and on COMEX futures in New York, and it moves every second those markets are open. The LBMA also publishes a twice-daily auction price used for settling contracts, but the number that matters minute to minute is the continuous spot quote.

Right now spot gold is $4,409.97 per troy ounce, which is $141.78 per gram.

Step 2 — the exchange rate

The metal is priced in dollars, so the local price has two moving parts. If the dollar strengthens against the rupee, gold gets more expensive locally even if the international price has not moved at all. In markets with volatile currencies, the exchange rate frequently drives more of a day's change than the metal does.

There is a second subtlety in Pakistan specifically: the interbank dollar and the open-market dollar are not the same rate. Importers buy at the open-market rate, which sits above interbank, so the effective conversion built into a retail gold rate is higher than the headline interbank figure.

Step 3 — the cost of getting metal here

Spot is the price of unallocated metal sitting in a London vault. It is not the price of a bar on a counter in Karachi. Turning one into the other costs money at every stage:

  • Import duty and levies charged on declared value.
  • Freight and insurance — bullion moves under specialist secure logistics.
  • Refining and assay where imported bar is recast into locally traded forms.
  • The open-market currency spread described above.
  • Wholesale dealer margin for holding stock and carrying price risk.

Together these form the national premium over import parity. It is not a fixed number — it widens when the currency is under pressure or when imports are restricted, and it compresses when supply is comfortable.

Step 4 — the local sarafa rate

Local associations publish the rate that shops quote from. In Pakistan the sarafa associations of the major cities do this; in India IBJA and the regional bullion associations serve the same function. They are taking the international benchmark, converting it, and adding the local cost of physical metal — which is why their number tracks spot closely but never matches it exactly.

Individual cities then differ by a small margin covering transport inland, security, storage and how many dealers compete locally.

The chain, with today's numbers

StepCalculationPer gramPer tola
1. International spot $4,409.97 ÷ 31.1035 g $141.78 $1,653.74
2. Converted to rupees × 277.64 PKR/USD Rs 39,364.82 Rs 459,143
3. Import parity + national premium × 1.0235 Rs 40,289.89 Rs 469,933
4. Karachi — national floor Published rate Rs 40,289.89 Rs 469,933
5. Bannu — plus city premium Floor + local margin Rs 40,307.89 Rs 470,143

Every figure in that table is computed live from the same snapshot the rest of the site renders from. The national premium currently applied is 2.35%, and it is a calibration setting — it is reviewed against published sarafa rates rather than left fixed.

Why the shop rate and the live rate differ

Three reasons, all of them ordinary:

  • Timing. International prices move continuously. A jeweller sets their board once or twice a day. On a volatile day the two will not agree, and neither is wrong.
  • Product. Pakistani markets quote two distinct 24 carat products — rawa (melted, the everyday retail benchmark) and TT-bar (imported tola bars, certified, and priced at a small premium for the assurance). Comparing a rawa rate to a TT-bar quote will always show a gap.
  • Bid versus ask. Dealers buy below and sell above the mid price. The spread is how they cover risk and cost. A "rate" quoted without saying which side it is on is incomplete.

What moves the international price

  • Real interest rates. Gold pays no yield, so it competes with interest-bearing assets. When real rates fall, gold typically strengthens; when they rise, it typically weakens. This is the single largest driver over medium horizons.
  • The dollar. Gold is dollar-priced, so a stronger dollar mechanically pressures the price for buyers in every other currency.
  • Central bank buying. Official-sector purchases have been a substantial and persistent source of demand in recent years, and unlike jewellery demand it is not price-sensitive.
  • Risk and uncertainty. Gold attracts flows during financial and geopolitical stress. This is the most-discussed driver and the least predictable.
  • Physical demand. Jewellery and investment demand from India, China and the Gulf shape the seasonal pattern, though they rarely dominate the trend.

How this site produces its numbers

We pull international spot and exchange rates on a schedule, store every snapshot, and derive local prices using the chain above. Nothing is copied from another rates site, and no figure is estimated to fill a gap — where data does not exist, the section does not render.

Two conversion errors are common across this category and we deliberately avoid both: using a rounded gram-per-ounce factor instead of the exact 31.1034768, and treating the Pakistani tola as 12.48 grams instead of the 11.6638 grams the market actually trades. Either mistake shifts a tola price by hundreds of rupees. The full methodology is documented on our data sources page.

Related pages

How Rates Are Decided — FAQ

Who decides the gold rate?+
No single body does. The international benchmark is set continuously by trading in London and on COMEX, quoted in US dollars per troy ounce. Local associations — the sarafa associations in Pakistan, IBJA and its regional counterparts in India — then publish a local rate that converts that benchmark and adds the local cost of physical metal.
Why does the local rate differ from international spot?+
Because spot is the price of unallocated metal in a London vault, not of a bar on a counter in Karachi or Chennai. Getting it there adds import duty, freight, insurance, refining and dealer margin. Local currency weakness widens the gap further, since the metal is bought in dollars.
How often does the gold rate change?+
The international price moves continuously while markets are open. We refresh our data every few minutes and recalculate local rates immediately. Local jewellers typically revise their board once or twice a day, which is why a shop quote can lag a live rate that has moved sharply.
Why does the dollar rate matter so much?+
Gold is priced in dollars, so the local price has two moving parts. If the dollar strengthens against the rupee, the local gold price rises even when the international price has not moved at all. In markets with volatile currencies, the exchange rate often drives more of the daily change than the metal does.
Where does the data on this site come from?+
International spot and exchange rates come from our market data provider and are stored on every refresh. Local rates are derived from that snapshot using the import parity and premium model documented on our data sources page — never copied from another rates site.